Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.003833 0.004023 0.004218 0.004432 0.004662 0.004901 0.005168
2025-01-26 0.003507 0.003795 0.004101 0.004453 0.004848 0.005279 0.005788
2025-02-02 0.003373 0.003726 0.004114 0.004574 0.005107 0.005710 0.006450
2025-02-09 0.003172 0.003558 0.003992 0.004518 0.005145 0.005874 0.006794
2025-02-16 0.003033 0.003448 0.003922 0.004510 0.005226 0.006079 0.007189
2025-02-23 0.002904 0.003339 0.003845 0.004482 0.005274 0.006239 0.007526
2025-03-02 0.002831 0.003291 0.003833 0.004529 0.005411 0.006509 0.008012
2025-03-09 0.002726 0.003197 0.003760 0.004493 0.005438 0.006637 0.008314
2025-03-16 0.002628 0.003108 0.003688 0.004453 0.005454 0.006747 0.008594
2025-03-23 0.002524 0.003006 0.003594 0.004379 0.005421 0.006788 0.008776
2025-03-30 0.002431 0.002914 0.003509 0.004313 0.005392 0.006830 0.008959
2025-04-06 0.002377 0.002870 0.003483 0.004321 0.005462 0.007007 0.009340
2025-04-13 0.002258 0.002739 0.003343 0.004174 0.005318 0.006885 0.009286
2025-04-20 0.002214 0.002705 0.003327 0.004193 0.005403 0.007088 0.009725
2025-04-27 0.002210 0.002721 0.003378 0.004304 0.005619 0.007489 0.010488
2025-05-04 0.002143 0.002653 0.003313 0.004253 0.005603 0.007547 0.010720
2025-05-11 0.002097 0.002611 0.003281 0.004246 0.005647 0.007696 0.011105
2025-05-18 0.002047 0.002562 0.003238 0.004220 0.005663 0.007801 0.011422
2025-05-25 0.002024 0.002548 0.003243 0.004263 0.005781 0.008068 0.012022
2025-06-01 0.001976 0.002499 0.003197 0.004230 0.005784 0.008153 0.012319
2025-06-08 0.001929 0.002450 0.003150 0.004193 0.005777 0.008223 0.012592
2025-06-15 0.001873 0.002388 0.003083 0.004125 0.005721 0.008210 0.012717
2025-06-22 0.001822 0.002331 0.003022 0.004064 0.005672 0.008205 0.012856